Health

Short Physical Performance Battery and all-cause mortality: systematic review and meta-analysis

Our meta-analysis suggests that poor performance on the SPPB is associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality in a dose-response manner. These findings were consistent among community-based subjects and both inpatients and outpatients, and across different geographical areas, age groups, and durations of follow-up.

In the older population, self-reported functional limitation is a well-established independent risk factor for disability, morbidity, hospital admission for any cause, and mortality [3]. Objective measures of physical performance may be more likely to capture the integrated and multisystemic effects of aging, comorbidity, disease severity, malnutrition, motivation, and cognition on the health status of older persons. The SPPB is a simple test developed for assessing lower extremity function. It includes three different assessments (walking speed, chair stand, and balance time) [3, 4]. This test might be considered a non-specific but highly sensitive indicator of global health status and also an indicator of vulnerability [38], reflecting several underlying physiological impairments [39].

To the best of our knowledge, this is the first meta-analysis with an adequate sample size to definitively study the relationship between SPPB score and all-cause mortality. We found an independent association between poor performance on SPPB and all-cause mortality. As expected, the association between SPPB score and all-cause mortality was more pronounced at lowest scores (0–3 and 4–6 versus 10–12). Nevertheless, a 7–9 SPPB score predicted increased all-cause mortality compared to a score of 10–12. It is noteworthy that meta-regression analysis revealed that, in the group of subjects with SPPB scores 7–9, a higher risk of death was seen in males, diabetics, and younger persons.

Previous studies have suggested an association between measures of physical performance and all-cause mortality [40, 41]. In particular, two worthy meta-analyses showed that walking speed, chair stand, and balance time (each tested singularly) were able to discriminate those at heightened risk of mortality in community-dwelling older adults [40, 41]. Our meta-analysis extends these findings into a broader range of ages, clinical settings, and geographical areas. As compared to single tests, SPPB gives a more thorough evaluation of lower limb physical capability, and it could permit a better discrimination of subjects with poor physical function. At the same time, the application of the full SPPB compared to the single part of this test, such as gait speed, is more time-consuming. Future studies are needed to assess if the application in clinical practice of SPPB is superior to the application of gait speed alone in the prediction of mortality, considering also the costs for health care. In effect, one of the limits of the application of SPPB in daily clinical practice is related to the chronic limitation of the resources in the primary care setting. This problem is dual. Firstly, the systematic application of SPPB to elderly patients requires qualified, properly trained personnel. Secondly, the application of self-reported physical function could be a possible alternative, but it is still not known if this assessment could be considered reliable in prediction of mortality.

Our work strongly supports the role of SPPB scores as a marker for risk stratification. This information might eventually support the development of adapted and personalized care offered to older persons. Considering the strong association with all-cause mortality, information on SPPB might suggest the application of different diagnostic and therapeutic strategies tailoring the more aggressive and intensive interventions to elderly patients with low physical performance. Randomized trials are warranted to test whether adoption of SPPB as a prognostic indicator by health systems reduces adverse health-related outcomes or reduces health care costs. For example, use of SPPB may improve choice of post-acute care setting, thereby reducing risk of short-term re-hospitalization and may better identify subsets of older patients unlikely to benefit from invasive surgical procedures. Alternatively, SPPB could be helpful as a surrogate endpoint of all-cause mortality in trials needing to quantify benefit and health improvements of specific treatments or rehabilitation programs. For example, the Lifestyle Interventions and Independence for Elders (LIFE) pilot study demonstrated that a structured physical activity program is able to increase the SPPB score [42]. Subsequently, the investigators showed in a larger randomized trial that a moderate-to-intense program of physical activity reduces disability [3].

Study limitations

Our results suffer from those limitations that are inherent to all meta-analytic techniques including particularly heterogeneity in populations and variable endpoint definitions across studies. We could analyze data only from authors who replied to our request and, even if statistical analyses do not show the presence of publication bias, this could not be completely excluded. Secondly, we decided to report SPPB score in classes (0–3, 4–6, 7–9, 10–12) and not as a continuous variable. Finally, we only evaluated the association between SPPB and mortality. Additional studies are needed to show that adoption of SPPB into a prediction model improves discrimination of mortality and to evaluate its clinical utility in the practice setting. Nevertheless, this is a meta-analysis on a large sample, including more than 16,000 patients. Our protocol has been prespecified and registered on a public platform (PROSPERO), and the collaboration between authors allowed us to obtain highly standardized data.