How many people have REALLY been infected with coronavirus?
GERMANY
% DETECTED: 15.6%
MARCH 31 CASES: 71,808
MOST RECENT TOLL: 108,202
MARCH 31 ESTIMATE: 460,000
MOST RECENT ESTIMATE: 700,000
UK
% DETECTED: 1.2%
MARCH 31 CASES: 25,481
MOST RECENT TOLL: 60,733
MARCH 31 ESTIMATE: 2million
MOST RECENT ESTIMATE: 5million
SPAIN
% DETECTED: 1.7%
MARCH 31 CASES: 95,923
MOST RECENT TOLL: 152,446
MARCH 31 ESTIMATE: 5.7million
MOST RECENT ESTIMATE: 9million
ITALY
% DETECTED: 3.5%
MARCH 31 CASES: 105,792
MOST RECENT TOLL: 139,442
MARCH 31 ESTIMATE: 3million
MOST RECENT ESTIMATE: 4million
The German researchers only provided the estimate for March 31, given their calculations for the true size of the outbreaks across Europe at the time.
The estimate for the most recent case toll is based on the same maths, which is likely to have changed given that more people have now been tested.